> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.tradionlabs.com/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Earnings Spider

> Get the read a desk analyst would write on a quarterly report — numbers, guidance, tone, and both sides of the argument.

Earnings Spider pulls a quarterly report apart: what the company earned, what it promised next, how management sounded, and what the options market expects next.

<Info>
  Included on **Starter** and every plan above it, with no monthly cap. See the [plan comparison](/reference/plan-comparison).
</Info>

<Frame caption="A finished read: headline numbers, the signal, and the factors behind the confidence score.">
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/tradion/vjBY-1cLC3De9wyn/images/screens/earnings-analysis.jpg?fit=max&auto=format&n=vjBY-1cLC3De9wyn&q=85&s=42978add7bc379db80e3c0b07753c214" alt="An NVDA earnings analysis showing EPS, revenue, growth, guidance, and surprise, then a bullish signal and confidence breakdown" width="1452" height="840" data-path="images/screens/earnings-analysis.jpg" />
</Frame>

## Two ways in

<Tabs>
  <Tab title="Pick a ticker and quarter">
    **No file needed.** Type a symbol, choose a quarter, and Tradion fetches the call transcript itself. The quarter list is annotated with beat or miss where known — *2025Q2 — Beat 6.3%*. With no transcript available, Tradion falls back to earnings press coverage without flagging it, so a thin-reading analysis usually means the transcript wasn't there.
  </Tab>

  <Tab title="Upload a file">
    Drop in a **PDF or plain-text transcript**, up to **15MB**. Official transcripts and press releases give the cleanest extraction. Image files are not accepted — a photographed page won't upload.
  </Tab>
</Tabs>

A rolling three-month earnings calendar sits alongside; clicking a company loads it into the ticker field.

## The spider signal

The result opens with a direction — **BULLISH**, **BEARISH**, or **NEUTRAL** — a **conviction** of Strong, Moderate, or Weak, a confidence percentage, and a paragraph of reasoning. Conviction is how firmly it holds that direction; confidence is how well the evidence supports it.

Confidence is a weighted average of five scored factors, each with a one-line justification:

| Factor            | Weight | What it scores                              |
| ----------------- | ------ | ------------------------------------------- |
| Earnings quality  | 30%    | Size and consistency of the beat or miss    |
| Guidance strength | 25%    | Clarity and strength of the forward outlook |
| Management tone   | 20%    | How confident the executives sounded        |
| Sector context    | 15%    | How this compares with the industry         |
| Track record      | 10%    | The company's history against estimates     |

[Reading a verdict](/concepts/reading-a-verdict) explains why the five factors matter more than the headline number.

## Key metrics, and what beat and miss mean

A strip across the top shows **EPS**, revenue, year-over-year growth, guidance direction, and the size of the EPS surprise.

**EPS** is earnings per share — total profit divided by the number of shares, which is why Wall Street quotes it: companies of different sizes compare directly.

A **consensus estimate** is the average of what professional analysts covering the stock predicted. **Beat** means the reported figure came in above that average; **miss** means below. Neither says the business is good or bad — it says the business surprised the people paid to predict it.

**YoY** (year-over-year) compares this quarter with the same quarter a year ago rather than last quarter, stripping out seasonal patterns.

### In plain English

A company can beat on EPS and fall anyway. Beating an estimate that was quietly cut twice is not the same as beating a stretch estimate, and the market knows the difference. The beat is the start of the question, not the answer.

## Guidance, and why it moves the stock more

**Guidance** is the company's own forecast for the coming quarter or year — revenue, margins, expenses. Tradion shows each item beside the previous guidance and the analyst consensus.

Guidance moves stocks harder than the reported quarter does, because that quarter is history. A beat paired with guidance below consensus is the classic way a stock falls on good news.

## Management tone

Two panels read how the results were delivered rather than what they were. **Tone divergence** scores the CEO and the CFO separately and flags a gap between them — the chief executive selling the story while the finance chief hedges is worth knowing. **Hedge words** counts uncertainty language ("challenging environment", "transitioning"), rates it low, medium, or high, quotes examples, and says whether it rose or fell since the last call.

Alongside those: a sentiment score with the phrases behind it, red flags, and quotes tagged by speaker and by whether each leans bullish or bearish.

## Bull versus bear, segments, and peers

Tradion writes both cases: a one-line thesis, two or three catalysts or risks, and a conviction rating each. The side you disagree with is the one worth reading.

A **segment** is a part of the business reported separately — a cloud division, a hardware line, a region. The segment table gives revenue and year-over-year growth for each, which is where a flat headline turns out to be one part surging while another sinks. **Peer comparison** puts competitors' EPS against estimate for the same quarter side by side, with how each stock reacted.

## The options implied move

An **implied move** is how far the options market expects the share price to travel, either direction, around the earnings date. It comes from what traders pay for options: a live price on uncertainty, not a published forecast.

The panel leads with that percentage and the price range it implies. Underneath:

* **Straddle cost** — the combined price of one call and one put at the strike nearest the current price. Buying both bets on movement without picking a direction, so its cost *is* the expected move. This panel is the only place straddle numbers appear.
* **At-the-money call and put** — strike, price, and **implied volatility**: how much movement the option's price implies traders expect. Higher means pricier options.
* **IV skew** — whether calls or puts are the more expensive, labelled upside bias or downside fear.
* **Open interest** and volume — how many contracts are outstanding, and how many changed hands today. Both split into calls and puts, with the put/call ratio read as positioning.

<Warning>
  A banner warns when the earnings-period options have already expired and you're seeing the nearest active expiration. That snapshot describes today's uncertainty, not the uncertainty around the earnings event.
</Warning>

## Risk factors and the rest

**Risk factors** lists each risk with a severity of High, Medium, or Low and what would offset it. Then an earnings history strip — beat rate and surprise on the last eight quarters — insider buying and selling, macro context, and a watch list for next quarter. **Copy Summary** puts the report on your clipboard.

## Analysis history

Every analysis saves automatically under the company and quarter. History lists them newest first; click to reopen the exact report, or delete it with a confirmation step.

A reopened report carries a live price badge that keeps refreshing. That price is today's, not the price on the earnings date — the report is frozen, the badge is not.

Earnings Spider describes a report. It does not know your positions or your timeline, and none of it is a recommendation to trade.

<CardGroup cols={2}>
  <Card title="Reading a verdict" icon="gauge" href="/concepts/reading-a-verdict">
    What direction, conviction, and confidence each claim.
  </Card>

  <Card title="Glossary" icon="book" href="/help/glossary">
    Plain-English definitions for terms used across Tradion.
  </Card>
</CardGroup>
