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A verdict is the one-word answer at the top of a Chart Analyzer, Lens, or Earnings result, with a confidence percentage under it. Here is what each means, and how both get misread.
A verdict card with its direction word, setup quality, risk/reward, confidence percentage, and analysis labelled

The direction word is the smallest part of the card. Everything under it is the reasoning.

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The four chart verdicts

Chart Analyzer returns one of four: WAIT and NO TRADE are common, and they are not failures. Not every chart contains a trade.

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BULLISH, BEARISH, NEUTRAL

Lens and Earnings Spider use a three-point scale instead. Chart Analyzer answers “is there a trade here” and speaks in actions; these two answer “which way does this lean” and speak in direction only. Lens labels its number Probability — read it as strength of the read, not odds of a payout.

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What confidence measures

A confidence score broken into five weighted factors, each with its own score and reason

Two cards can both read 70% and mean completely different things.

Confidence is the weighted average of five factors, each scored 0–100: Each factor comes with a one-line reason. Read the factors, not the headline number. A 70% built from clarity 95 and volume 20 is a clean pattern nobody is trading. A 70% built from five scores near 70 is a middling setup. Not the same trade.

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What confidence is not

Confidence is not the probability that the trade makes money. A verdict at 80% does not win 8 times in 10. It means the evidence pointed one direction more consistently than on a 40% setup.
It ignores your position size, your holding period, and news that breaks tomorrow. The separate Setup Quality figure, out of 10, averages trend clarity and pattern quality only: it describes the chart, while confidence describes the whole call.

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Entry, stop, target, and the ratio between them

Price axis showing entry, a stop below it, and a target above it, with the risk and reward distances marked

Risk is the gap from entry to stop. Reward is the gap from entry to target.

A chart verdict comes with three prices: entry, where the setup makes sense; stop, where you exit if it goes against you; target, where the move is expected to run out. Risk/reward is the distance from entry to target divided by the distance from entry to stop, written like 3:1. At 3:1 you gain three times what you risk, so you can be right well under half the time and still come out ahead. Tradion flags anything below 1.5:1 in red. The ratio is arithmetic on those three prices, not a separate judgement. Move the stop further away and the ratio falls — which is how a good-looking setup quietly becomes mediocre.
A card titled Conditional Levels, marked “not actionable — waiting for trigger”, means price has not yet reached the zone the analysis describes. The ratio shown is what you would get at that entry, not from here.

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The levels above and below the price

Chart Analyzer also returns three reference prices for a stated time window:
  • Pivot point — a neutral reference: the previous session’s high, low, and close averaged.
  • R1 (resistance) — a price above, where selling has tended to appear and the move stalls.
  • S1 (support) — a price below, where buying has tended to appear and the fall stops.
R1 and S1 each carry a break probability: the estimated chance price pushes all the way through inside that window. The model reads it off the shape of the chart, not from counting past occurrences, so treat 55% and 45% as “roughly a coin flip either way”. The card also shows ATR (Average True Range) — how far a symbol typically travels in one period, in dollars. If your stop is tighter than the ATR, ordinary movement takes you out before the idea gets a chance.

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In plain English

Read the card in this order:
  1. The word — a reading of the chart, not an instruction.
  2. The five factors, not the headline percentage. Two very different setups can average to the same number.
  3. The three prices. If entry-to-stop is smaller than the ATR, the stop is too tight for this symbol.
  4. The ratio. Anything red needs you to be right most of the time.
Nothing on the card knows your account size, your other positions, or what you will do once you are in.

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When to distrust a verdict

Chart Analyzer and Lens read pixels. Heavy indicator overlays, a cropped price axis, or a low-resolution capture all degrade the read. If the analysis describes levels not on your chart, recapture it cleanly.
Low volume means a pattern nobody is trading, and those resolve badly. A wide spread across the five scores means conflicting evidence. A tight cluster, high or low, is a more reliable read than an average of extremes.
Earnings, an economic release, or a rate decision can override chart structure entirely. Technical analysis two days before earnings is analysis of a chart, not of the situation.
Personalised warnings draw on Tradion Memory. With few autopsies, that layer has little to say and the verdict is closer to generic.

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Verdicts are analysis, not advice

A verdict is one input from a model reading a chart, and it can be wrong in ways the confidence score gives no warning about. The decision is yours every time.

Chart Analyzer

Where verdicts come from, and how to feed it a chart it can read.

Glossary

Plain-English definitions of the terms used across the site.